winds will leave Lee behind stuck in an area with very little upper
level wind flow. Check out the water vapor satellite imagery from this
morning. That dip in the jet stream (trough) is helping to feed the back
side of Lee with some dry air and at the same time it is helping to
life Lee up and pull him towards N. Georgia. Most computer models
are carrying Lee NE rather rapidly as the trough lifts Lee up, but I am not fully buying it. I think the winds at the jet stream are going to leave Lee behind a bit. All this means for us is that Lee is going to move slowly. Some of the models are thinking the same thing in putting lee into the central US, time will tell. I should have a better handle on it as the day moves along. For today the main thing we will be
watching
for today is going to be the amount of rain parts of the state are
going to get. This is the 8am radar image and there is a big batch of
heavy rain moving into the western sections of the state. Some of the
computer models have us getting up to 9 inches of rain in far north
Georgia, with other areas of around 4-5 inches 
of
rain. Parts of Alabama have seen 5 inches, but that is in some very
small patches. I think a lot of rain is likely, but not like the floods
we had in 2009 by any stretch. The rain should be on and off throughout
the day today, and overnight into tomorrow. Not a constant deluge, more
like on and off heavy showers. For the severe threat….. it is there for
sure as it always is for tropical storms and depressions as they wind
down over land. There is a lot of spin in 
these
guys, but as they get further, time-wise, away from landfall their
tornado treat goes down. There were 10 tornado reports associated with
Lee yesterday, all in Alabama and Florida. We are under a slight risk
for severe weather today with brief spin-up type tornadoes being the
primary threat. I really think that this will be a flooding event for N.
Georgia, not a tornado event, but we will keep monitoring it.
8am Update on Tropical Depression Lee
4/
5
Oleh
Agus Prasetyo
